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1.21.10
Restaurant Finance Monitor®
First Franchise Capital's Survey Sheds Light on Restaurant Operator Mindset


Volume 21, Number 1, ISSN #1061-382X
Restaurant Finance Monitor, 2808 Anthony Lane South, Minneapolis, MN 55418

FINANCE SOURCES
First Franchise Capital's Survey Sheds Light on Restaurant Operator Mindset

The modus operandi for restaurateurs over the past several months has been to hunker down, stop developing, avoid capital expenses and mind the store. But there is growing evidence that many franchisees may be getting ready to emerge from their development hibernation.

The latest comes from a survey of restaurant owners by First Franchise Capital Corporation. The study found that operators, perhaps anticipating a better environment in the coming year, are planning to reinvest in their business in the coming year. Three-quarters of 173 respondents said they plan to invest in their business in 2010. "Given the time it takes to launch a new site, many may be beginning the process now," said John Rinaldi, president of First Franchise. "By the end of 2010, we'll all be in better shape, and it'll be a better time to open up a restaurant."

In addition, he said, franchisees are getting "more and more encouragement and support from franchisors" to develop units. Some are guaranteeing debt. Others are temporarily deferring or decreasing royalties and ad funds as a way to encourage operators to open new units.

First Franchise, formerly Irwin Franchise Capital Corp., routinely surveys its clients and potential clients, most of them restaurant franchises, to learn what they're thinking. The latest survey, done in November, provides some unique insight into operators' development plans and some aspects of their relationship with their franchisor.

The results from the recent survey are largely a mixed bag, as one might expect in a survey of business owners during the middle of a sputtering recovery from a brutal recession. A third of the respondents said they had opened new units in the past month, and fewer, 12.1 percent, had to close some restaurants. Franchisors likewise don't appear to be confident of a quick change in the economic state. Nearly a third, 30.1 percent, said they don't foresee a recovery for another 18 months or more. Another 27.7 percent said it would be a year. Interestingly, 12.7 percent of franchisees responded to the question by saying that it's "great now."

A plurality of franchisees, 44.5 percent, said their franchisor decreased support and another 27.7 percent said support remained the same. That suggests that franchisors are suffering from many of the same afflictions as their local owners. "It may be that some franchisors are cutting back," Rinaldi said. "They have financial performance objectives also."

Yet many franchisors are also intent on driving traffic and on managing operating costs-three quarters of franchisees said their franchisor was doing one, the other, or both. Many brands have been trying to drive traffic through targeted promotions through the recession, especially discounts, and 60.1 percent of franchisees said they were pleased with their franchisor's efforts.

Still, for many the results have yet to kick in. Only 38.2 percent said their franchisors' efforts ultimately improved their bottom line, but nearly as many (31.7 percent) said the efforts decreased their bottom line, and another 24.9 percent said the results were flat.

Many franchisees are focused on the bottom line. Rinaldi said that the vast majority is cutting costs, though many are finding that their costs weren't out of line. He said that franchisees have been holding back on investment, which makes their declaration in the study that they plan to invest in the coming year "interesting."

"We knew this before the survey, that franchisees were sitting on the sidelines deciding whether to take on the extra expenses," Rinaldi. "They've been waiting for sales to turn around." Rinaldi said there are some other major concerns he's found among franchisees. One is re-imaging or remodeling requirements. Those investments may never add to the top line, but may simply keep customers by keeping the restaurant fresh. Another, he said, is the health care debate. Many restaurateurs rely on part-timers, and they don't provide health benefits. Those franchisees are concerned that they may have to start providing that coverage under the bill being debated. "They're not clear what's going to happen in that respect, and how much it's going to eat into (their) profitability," Rinaldi said. "It's a significant concern for those paying attention to it."

-Jonathan Maze
 
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